Flooring Guide by Cinvex – In the early hours, RCTI will broadcast live coverage of Indonesia’s National Team as they face Saudi Arabia and Iraq in Round 4 of the World Cup 2026 Qualifiers. Indeed, the Indonesian National Team appears to be on a “Mission Impossible” as they strive for automatic qualification to the 2026 World Cup through this critical fourth round.
This daunting challenge awaits Timnas Indonesia in Round 4 of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers. Their campaign is set to commence against Saudi Arabia on Thursday, October 9, 2025, at 00:15 WIB (Western Indonesian Time) / 01:15 Wita (Central Indonesian Time). Following this crucial opening match, Indonesia will face its second test against Iraq on Sunday, October 12, 2025, at 02:30 WIB.
For Indonesia’s National Team to secure an automatic spot in the 2026 World Cup from the fourth round, they must claim the top position in the final group standings. This means accumulating more points than both Saudi Arabia and Iraq in Group B. Achieving this feat, however, is far from straightforward for the Garuda squad.
Recent analyses by Footy Ranking underscore the monumental task ahead, revealing the qualification percentages for the six nations participating in the fourth round of the Asian World Cup 2026 Qualifiers. Alarmingly, Timnas Indonesia has been assigned the lowest qualification percentage among all contenders. According to Footy Ranking’s projections, Indonesia’s chances of topping their group and directly qualifying for the World Cup 2026 from this round stand at a mere 5 percent.
This meager percentage pales significantly when compared to Saudi Arabia, who are given a substantial 67 percent chance of winning Group B and securing a World Cup berth. Even against Iraq, who hold a 28 percent probability, Timnas Indonesia‘s prospects remain notably lower. When benchmarked against the three nations in Group A—Qatar, United Arab Emirates, and Oman—Indonesia’s chances of clinching the group title are still the smallest. Qatar, for instance, hosting Group A in the fourth round, boasts a 47 percent chance of group victory, followed by the UAE with 30 percent, and Oman with 23 percent. This comparative analysis clearly positions Indonesia with the lowest odds among all fourth-round participants.
Furthermore, Indonesia’s probability of finishing as group runner-up is only 20 percent, falling behind Saudi Arabia (27 percent), Iraq (53 percent), Qatar (31 percent), United Arab Emirates (36 percent), and Oman (30 percent). Conversely, the probability of Timnas Indonesia finishing last in the group is the highest at 75 percent, a stark contrast to Saudi Arabia (6 percent), Iraq (19 percent), Qatar (21 percent), United Arab Emirates (34 percent), and Oman (45 percent).
However, football is inherently unpredictable, and Indonesia’s National Team certainly has the opportunity to overturn these predictions, which currently cast the Garuda as the weakest team unlikely to advance past the fourth round. Securing six points from their two encounters against Saudi Arabia and Iraq will be a non-negotiable objective for Timnas Indonesia in Round 4, no matter what it takes. Should they deliver an exceptional and inspired performance, automatic qualification for the World Cup from this round is not an impossibility. Achieving such a feat would undoubtedly etch a golden chapter in Indonesian football history on the international stage.
The journey of Timnas Indonesia to realize their dream of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup from this crucial fourth round of qualifiers will be eagerly anticipated.
Jadwal Lengkap Ronde 4 Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 zona Asia (Full Schedule for Round 4 of AFC World Cup 2026 Qualifiers)
Grup A (Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Qatar)
8 Oktober 2025 (22.00 WIB): Oman vs Qatar
12 Oktober 2025 (00.15 WIB): UEA vs Oman
15 Oktober 2025 (00.15 WIB): Qatar vs UEA
Grup B (King Abdullah Sports City, Saudi)
9 Oktober 2025 (00.15 WIB): Indonesia vs Saudi Arabia
12 Oktober 2025 (02.30 WIB): Irak vs Indonesia
15 Oktober 2025 (02.30 WIB): Saudi Arabia vs Iraq
Pembagian Grup Ronde 4 Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 (Group Divisions for Round 4 of World Cup 2026 Qualifiers)
Grup A: Qatar (Home), Oman, Uni Emirat Arab (UEA)
Grup B: Arab Saudi (Home), Irak, Timnas Indonesia
(Banjarmasinpost.co.id/Tribunnews.com)
Summary
Indonesia’s National Team is set to compete in Round 4 of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers, facing Saudi Arabia on October 9, 2025, and Iraq on October 12, 2025. To secure an automatic spot in the World Cup from this round, Indonesia must top Group B. This represents a significant challenge for the squad.
Analyses by Footy Ranking assign Indonesia a mere 5% chance of topping their group, significantly trailing Saudi Arabia (67%) and Iraq (28%), and the highest probability (75%) of finishing last. Despite these low odds, the team aims to secure six points from these two matches. Achieving this feat would defy predictions and mark a historic milestone for Indonesian football.